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This short-selling strategy bundle consists of three short strategies. The idea and logic work in a variety of assets, not only the three different below. Entries are on the close or the next open (and the same for exits).
The bundle comes with trading rules in plain English and code for Amibroker and TradeStation/EasyLanguage (we also have it in TradingView/Pine Script but we provide no guarantees that it works properly).
Short strategy 1
The backtest below is done on S&P 500 (SPY or @ES):
Strategy and performance metrics:
- #trades: 125
- Average gain per trade: 0.72%
- CAGR: 2.9%
- Time spent in the market: 7%
- Max drawdown: 11%
- Risk-adjusted CAGR: 40%
- Win rate: 66%
- Max consecutive losers: 7
- Max consecutive winners: 16
- Profit factor: 2.1
- Sharpe Ratio: 1.7
Short strategy 2
The backtest below is done on XLP (consumer staple ETF):
Strategy and performance metrics:
- #trades: 220
- Average gain per trade: 0.3%
- CAGR: 5.3%
- Time spent in the market: 5%
- Max drawdown: 4%
- Risk-adjusted CAGR: 38%
- Win rate: 71%
- Max consecutive losers: 7
- Max consecutive winners: 20
- Profit factor: 2.4
- Sharpe Ratio: 2.1
Short strategy 3
The backtest below is done on SMH (semiconductor ETF):
Strategy and performance metrics:
- #trades: 188
- Average gain per trade: 1.24%
- CAGR: 10.1%
- Time spent in the market: 11%
- Max drawdown: 22%
- Risk-adjusted CAGR: 91%
- Win rate: 71%
- Max consecutive losers: 4
- Max consecutive winners: 19
- Profit factor: 2.1
- Sharpe Ratio: 2.1
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